Projected Playoff Maps Wk 8

Re: Projected Playoff Maps Wk 8

feeds@kickapps.com (trezdustrial) — Tue, 20 Oct 2009 17:08:00 PST

BBR is scheduled for Det Southeastern

Woah, tough draw for BBR. Could be a good game though!

Re: Projected Playoff Maps Wk 8

feeds@kickapps.com (ftballer67) — Tue, 20 Oct 2009 15:32:42 PST

According to Snooze's current projection Dakota would catch a huge break getting home field adavantage in the districts at 7-2. Hope it works out that way.

Re: Projected Playoff Maps Wk 8

feeds@kickapps.com (AuldSchool) — Tue, 20 Oct 2009 14:42:16 PST

Believe the picture with the pin thru the voodoo doll's eye would represent a blinding headache - very similar to the one I just got when I saw that the PSL schedule has also shifted some other games… For example BBRice was scheduled to play Det Cody. Now I see BBR is scheduled for Det Southeastern, who I had scheduled to play Det King.

Re: Projected Playoff Maps Wk 8

feeds@kickapps.com (SnoozeToMe) — Tue, 20 Oct 2009 12:24:49 PST

Mr NCAA wrote:
The pins also appear this way:

My mother keeps telling me, "be careful... you could put an eye out" with those push-pins. I never believed her until now!

Re: Projected Playoff Maps Wk 8

feeds@kickapps.com (Mr NCAA) — Tue, 20 Oct 2009 12:21:18 PST

The pins also appear this way:

Re: Projected Playoff Maps Wk 8

feeds@kickapps.com (SnoozeToMe) — Tue, 20 Oct 2009 12:19:00 PST

AuldSchool wrote:
By the way it looks like Inland Lakes (C 5-3) plays Pellston (C 1-7), so don't lose that 'pin' yet.

With the 'waiting' time have you looked at seeding the teams around the top 4 POP teams as region hosts, districts to top 8, to see how far off we get from the geographical model?

I like the idea of seeding the teams. I'd really have to wait until the final POP numbers are known though. Once the week 9 POP values are known, I'll have (1) the final projections, (2) the actual maps, and (3) the brackets to post. Then I'll be able to think about seeded regions. That's a great idea.

Oh, and the pins never stray very far.

Re: Projected Playoff Maps Wk 8

feeds@kickapps.com (Mr NCAA) — Tue, 20 Oct 2009 12:11:33 PST

I saw some debating on mdead over the Clarkston, Grand Blanc, Lake Orion, and Pontiac district. If both Clarkston and Grand Blanc win, it will come down to how their opponents fare in week 9. Grand Blanc would have 1 more victory heading into how their opponent do so Clarkston's opponents would have to win 1 more game than Grand Blanc's opponents. If they tie, I do believe that it will come down to a coin toss since neither school played a Class B school.

Re: Projected Playoff Maps Wk 8

feeds@kickapps.com (AuldSchool) — Tue, 20 Oct 2009 11:42:02 PST

By the way it looks like Inland Lakes (C 5-3) plays Pellston (C 1-7), so don't lose that 'pin' yet.

With the 'waiting' time have you looked at seeding the teams around the top 4 POP teams as region hosts, districts to top 8, to see how far off we get from the geographical model?

Re: Projected Playoff Maps Wk 8

feeds@kickapps.com (Mr NCAA) — Tue, 20 Oct 2009 09:13:38 PST

Plus AuldSchool + NumberCrunch has said that it is plus or minus 3 on the projections for divisions before. Here is this weeks projections from AuldSchool, which didn't include Concord who will be receiving a week 9 forfeit. This took out Indian River Inland Lakes on the projections.

http://searnfootballforum.yuku.com/topic/7328

Re: Projected Playoff Maps Wk 8

feeds@kickapps.com (SnoozeToMe) — Tue, 20 Oct 2009 08:18:06 PST

lowmanwins wrote:

Quick question, was Negaunee in Division 6 (on your map) at this time last year? I know they ended up in D5.

Negaunee was in D5 at this time last season. Here is a LINK to the 2008 projected map (after 8 weeks).

Re: Projected Playoff Maps Wk 8

feeds@kickapps.com (lowmanwins) — Tue, 20 Oct 2009 07:25:30 PST

Quick question, was Negaunee in Division 6 (on your map) at this time last year? I know they ended up in D5.

Re: Projected Playoff Maps Wk 8

feeds@kickapps.com (SnoozeToMe) — Mon, 19 Oct 2009 22:26:22 PST

Mr NCAA wrote:
This week D7 could posssibly be changing with Watervileit, White Pigeon, and Potterville moving to new districts.

Yep, I thought about that change too... rotate those three teams clockwise.

Re: Projected Playoff Maps Wk 8

feeds@kickapps.com (Mr NCAA) — Mon, 19 Oct 2009 20:45:09 PST

I saw that someone questioned my suggestion of having Swartz Creek going west. Swartz Creek is around 8 miles closer to Midland while at the same time being 14 or so miles closer to Caledonia plus is closer to the Portages as well. So doing the MHSAA mileage reimbursement having Swartz Creek going west would save the MHSAA a few $$$. Based on the D2 map, 1 team will have to be chosen to go west first and Swartz Creek is my candidate for now based on what AuldSchool's projections were. If the map changes after week 9, it could be some other team, but for now that is how it looks like. A Linden poster gave Swartz Creek a 35% chance of making the playoffs last week.

For the record the map changed in a couple of divisions so they wrecked my other suggestions last week, which I didn't post on here.

This week D7 could posssibly be changing with Watervileit, White Pigeon, and Potterville moving to new districts.

Re: Projected Playoff Maps Wk 8

feeds@kickapps.com (AuldSchool) — Mon, 19 Oct 2009 17:27:52 PST

I'd concur on that is who to drop.

I've been to the shrine also, it looks like it has changed… I seem to remember that they were trying to re-furbish, so it looks like that was accomplished.

Re: Projected Playoff Maps Wk 8

feeds@kickapps.com (SnoozeToMe) — Mon, 19 Oct 2009 16:45:36 PST

Mr NCAA wrote:
Oops, the wife loves the Cross In The Woods there.

Say What?

Re: Projected Playoff Maps Wk 8

feeds@kickapps.com (Mr NCAA) — Mon, 19 Oct 2009 16:36:22 PST

Oops, the wife loves the Cross In The Woods there.

Re: Projected Playoff Maps Wk 8

feeds@kickapps.com (SnoozeToMe) — Mon, 19 Oct 2009 16:32:13 PST

Mr NCAA wrote:
The MHSAA will be putting down the crossovers on there probably tomorrow since that is what they did last week. The one problem that I have with the maps this week is that Concord Grapes was left off the list when they are getting a forfeit in week 9 so that should have put them on AuldSchool's list and your maps. So i will have to come up with a team to eliminate.

Well, based on AuldSchool's method, if Concord is in, then Indian River Inland Lakes is out. They were the last class C school in.

Re: Projected Playoff Maps Wk 8

feeds@kickapps.com (Mr NCAA) — Mon, 19 Oct 2009 16:26:25 PST

The MHSAA will be putting down the crossovers on there probably tomorrow since that is what they did last week. The one problem that I have with the maps this week is that Concord Grapes was left off the list when they are getting a forfeit in week 9 so that should have put them on AuldSchool's list and your maps. So i will have to come up with a team to eliminate.

Re: Projected Playoff Maps Wk 8

feeds@kickapps.com (SnoozeToMe) — Mon, 19 Oct 2009 16:21:20 PST

AuldSchool wrote:

Thanks, it now looks like just the Det Public Schools that are needed....

If I had a nickel for every time that was the case...

Re: Projected Playoff Maps Wk 8

feeds@kickapps.com (AuldSchool) — Mon, 19 Oct 2009 16:06:06 PST

Thanks, it now looks like just the Det Public Schools that are needed. I found a bunch of them when I looked at the individual school pages.

Projected Playoff Maps Wk 8

feeds@kickapps.com (SnoozeToMe) — Mon, 19 Oct 2009 11:45:39 PST

Week 8 Maps have been posted.

Feel free to give your input on where teams belong, in terms of regions/districts.

For discussion on teams chosen, click HERE

NOTE: If I get a complete, reliable field of 256 based on predicted outcomes in week 9, I will post those maps later in the week.

Edit: I have Addison in D7 instead of Merrill. I had to choose between Merrill and Indian River Inland Lakes. Chose to toss Merrill because they play a better team this week.